Friday, 5 February 2021

Monitoring the Bull Market in Indian Stocks: Update as of January 2021

 




See also the December 2020 update.

 See my blog of July 9, 2014 for the original note on using TMV/GNP ratio to gauge whether the market is cheap or expensive, and my monthly blogs on this subject




India Market Map: January 2021

 Foreign Exchange



Stocks


Government Bonds


Gold


Call Money


Policy Rates

Bank Deposits



Public Provident Fund


Post Office Deposits


Home Loans


Real Estate


Wednesday, 6 January 2021

India Market Map: December 2020

 

Foreign Exchange

Stocks

Government Bonds

Gold

Call Money

Policy Rates

Bank Deposits


Public Provident Fund

Post Office Deposits

Home Loans


Real Estate





Monday, 4 January 2021

Monitoring the Bull Market in Indian Stocks: In December, Market cap. to GNP reaches highest level since Narendra Modi's rise to power

 Market capitalization of Indian stocks as percentage of GNP (TMV/GNP) is estimated at the highest level of 95% since Narendra Modi came to power.  Similar levels  were seen in January and August of 2018. Are we in for a correction in the market or are we going to see market entering bubble territory with the ratio crossing 100%? 

See my comments for the November month.  Given the strength of the US market, I would see a further rise to the 100% area for TMV/GNP backed by a further rise in the market. But I believe investors need to start looking at their portfolios and making sure that they have quality names in their portfolios.